Posted By Peter Feaver Share

I have been in Singapore for the past several weeks serving as the S. Rajaratnam. Visiting Professor of Strategic Studies at the Rajaratnam School of International Studies (my FP colleague, Steve Walt, was the very first to get this honor back in 2000, and he blogs regularly about his return visits). Traveling abroad is a great opportunity to look at American foreign policy and politics with fresh eyes. And this time, with the debt ceiling debate receiving prominent attention in every corner of the globe, the effect was especially vivid. I hope to post further reflections provoked by my sojourn in Singapore, but will begin with an observation narrowly focused on the debt ceiling crisis.

Viewed from a long way away, I think David Sanger has it about right: the United States avoided the worst possible self-inflicted wound of default, but the extraordinarily divisive debate and the manifest failure of President Obama to lead in a responsible way likely did long-lasting damage to his and the country's global stature.

The Obama team operated in rapid response campaign mode, giving higher priority to demonizing Republicans than in honestly negotiating with them. In terms of media gimmicks, this approached scored some tactical successes for Obama, even from afar. For instance, many of my interlocutors over here bought into the White House narrative that a few score Tea Partiers, who were not even the majority of House Republicans (themselves only controlling one half of Congress, itself only one of the two relevant branches of government in the dispute), were so strong that Democrats who controlled the White House and the Senate had no choice but to do their bidding. This distorted view served the short-term interests of a president who wanted to avoid responsibility for leading, but likely did damage to his long-term standing as a global leader. (Ross Douthat argues persuasively that the same diminishment will happen with the president's domestic standing).

I have traveled abroad at regular intervals since Obama entered the White House and the decline in his global image among the elites I interact with has been discernible. Early in his presidency, my foreign interlocutors sounded as blinkered and starry eyed as any Grant Park attendee. But with each new trip, I have noticed that the fervency receded and the doubts mounted. And now when I talk with government insiders, people with actual experience dealing with the U.S. government (as opposed to watching it on BBC and the Daily Show), there is often a quietly expressed nostalgia for earlier administrations -- even, gasp, the Bush administration. A grudging consensus appears to be emerging: that President Obama gives good speeches, but even three years into his term he has not yet hit his stride on the nitty-gritty of actually leading as president, domestically or globally. (Interestingly, my interlocutors are much quicker to give Secretary Clinton strong marks. They seem to attribute any good things to her and any bad things to the president.)

Yet the parameters of the debate were further damaging to our global leadership. The choice appeared to be between, on the one hand, joining the ranks of bankrupt failed states who default on their financial obligations or, on the other hand, drastically slashing those parts of the government budget that are most crucial to our global role (defense and international operations). There were few voices, on either side of the aisle, making the case for adequately funding these key pillars of American power and the inference that many would draw seems inescapable: Americans are heeding the siren song of isolationism and global retreat. No one I talked to wanted to see the United States walk any further along this path. But few were confident we could or would reverse course soon.

JEWEL SAMAD/AFP/Getty Images

 

DAVIDCEISEN

11:25 PM ET

August 2, 2011

Wrong

"For instance, many of my interlocutors over here bought into the White House narrative that a few score Tea Partiers, who were not even the majority of House Republicans (themselves only controlling one half of Congress, itself only one of the two relevant branches of government in the dispute), were so strong that Democrats who controlled the White House and the Senate had no choice but to do their bidding."

The House was the most important party in the debate. Any tax increases or reforms need to originate in the House. If Boehner was unable to get his caucus to agree to anything that the Senate and the White House wanted then the Senate and the White House were powerless to do anything about it. Not to mention that the Republican party has decided that 60 votes are necessary to do anything in the Senate, so 'controlling' the Senate basically means nothing. The Republicans have become a party dedicated to the destruction of President Obama and all policy begins and ends with that goal.

And I can't wait to hear about international elites preferring Michael Bachmann or Herman Cain over Obama.

 

ZATHRAS

4:30 AM ET

August 3, 2011

The debt ceiling circus

Though I don't necessarily disagree with the poster upthread about the primary motivation of Congressional Republicans, I think President Obama's supporters would be making a mistake if they assume Obama is bound to be reelected just because his opponent in 2012 is certain to look too extreme.

Obama likes to talk about "who we are" as Americans. He's hardly alone -- in a country that claims self-admiration and self-congratulation as its great national vices -- in imagining that who we are as Americans must be pretty close to who he and his strongest supporters are. Americans who hold radically different views, from this standpoint, must be beyond the pale: too rigid, too ideological, too extreme. The fact is, though, that the American economy is in great distress, which means many millions of Americans are as well. No President facing reelection under these circumstances can take anything for granted.

In fact, I largely agree with Feaver here. In the matter of the debt ceiling, Obama has acted like a candidate, not like a President. He accepted accolades for "getting a deal done" last winter by foolishly accepting extension of 2001's tax rate reductions, though a vote to raise the debt ceiling was clearly in sight by that time. He avoided any of the hard fiscal issues in the budget he submitted to Congress in the spring. The criticisms made of Obama that he put none of his own ideas on the table and made no specific proposals as to how he would close our structural fiscal deficit were all true.

Obama avoided controversy over his ideas, tried to place blame for unpleasant developments on his opponents, and sought to ensure that Congressional Democrats shared the spotlight for any unpopular ideas that might come up from his side. That he was largely right, and Congressional Republicans entirely wrong, on the substance of whether the debt ceiling should be increased in an orderly way (and the fiscal situation dealt with afterwards) hardly matters. Being right and losing has never been the path to political success in Washington.

Obama has, throughout the whole degrading debt ceiling circus, looked weak. It's not a good thing for the country when the President of the United States makes that impression. Years ago, when weapons of mass destruction that experts outside the Bush administration had warned were not in Iraq turned out, in fact, not to be there, the President of the United States looked like a doofus -- plunging the American military into years of war for no good reason. In fact, the United States has experienced a succession of Presidents who don't seem to have fully grasped the nature and responsibilities of the office, and conducted themselves in ways that did damage to the country's standing around the world. I have great sympathy for Obama's burdens, but he and his team had better realize that the debt ceiling business was a fiasco for them all. He, and they, have to do better.

 

DAVIDCEISEN

9:11 PM ET

August 3, 2011

But if the primary goal of

But if the primary goal of the opposition is to destroy you, how do you show leadership? What possible course of action could Obama have taken to change the outcome of the debate? We are talking about a party with members on the record stating that they don't think default would be that bad (not to mention that climate change is a hoax, evolution is not a reliable theory, taxes can never be increased, ect). No matter what Obama says the Republicans are going to do the opposite.

 

ZATHRAS

4:16 AM ET

August 4, 2011

The White Pieces

In our system, the President gets to make the first move.

He has access to far greater resources for making policy than all of his opponents put together. He has a far better platform for explaining his policy choices than his rivals have for explaining theirs. He begins his term -- and this really is true no matter who he is -- being given the benefit of the doubt by many Americans, simply because he is President.

These are great advantages. President Obama has additional advantages, in that he is thoughtful and articulate (something that was not true of his predecessor) and fiercely disciplined about his public statements (something that was not true of the last Democratic President). But Obama has not used his advantages effectively.

He has let his opposition unify unmolested. He has declined to use the procedures long established in the American government -- specifically, in the budget process -- to disperse controversies, and waited until matters came to a crisis that allowed all Republicans to fall in line behind the same leaders, day after day. He refused to use his platform to explain the substantive fiscal issues to the American public before the government faced crisis, and used it then only to complain about how unreasonable his opposition was being. He has also neglected his political allies, something that speaks to policy choices as much as tactics; it hurt him in this controversy, though it might be necessary in one on another subject in the future.

There have always been fissures within the Republican Party; its unity, during periods when a Republican does not occupy the White House, has historically been more the exception than the rule. I just don't understand the attitude that leads people on Obama's side to throw up their hands, bemoaning how vicious and insane and all the rest of it are the President's opponents, and all the mean things they say about him. If that's how Obama and his team are approaching the rest of his term, he might as well start collecting papers to use on his Presidential memoirs.

 

ZORRO

11:55 AM ET

August 3, 2011

Maybe in Singapore...

...someone is missing George II. In Europe only Anders Breivik et al. does.

I agree, though, that the current debt ceiling fiasco has made Obama look weak, but not because of tactics, but because of the result. A shambolic process leading to sham savings and another circus for Christmas.

 

IAN

5:30 PM ET

August 3, 2011

You say Obama was in campaign mode

and I wouldn't disagree. You also make that sound like a bad thing, and again, I wouldn't disagree. However you completely fail (entirely by accident, I'm sure...) to mention exactly how campaign-like the Republicans acted. Their whole stated goal is to not get Obama re-elected in 2012. They weren't in it for the US, they were in it for damaging Obama's reputation wherever they could.

Come on. Both parties completely failed at the leadership exam during this debate, as it turned into a "Republican's are in it for the rich and downing Obama in 2012 (the exact campaign-like attitude issue you take with Obama)/ The Democrats/Obama aren't providing real leadership or negotiating anything."

What it really seemed like? A bunch of 4th graders yelling "You're stupid...", "Ya? Well, you stupider!"

 

WOLFBOY

8:22 PM ET

August 4, 2011

I actually agree, Dr. Feaver

I actually agree, Dr. Feaver that Obama is turning into a weak president with a weak record.

Your suggestion that the primary fault in the debt-ceiling debacle is attributable to Obama's "manifest failure to lead", however, is absurd.

What, exactly, should he have proposed that could have garnered support of a house majority? Have you not noticed that opposing Obama has become an end in itself in the Republican caucus, and that they refused his offers for greater spending cuts than they proposed?

Your suggestion that a few score tea partiers should not be pivotal ignores that fact that virtually all Republicans in congress have signed a pledge to never raise taxes, that the right wing exerted enough control over Boehner that he never tried to craft a true bipartisan proposal, and that Republicans in the senate were prepared to filibuster proposals there.

The Republicans' actions here were unprecedented and outrageous, as you would surely see by attempting a thought experiment in which 2007 Democrats signed a pledge to not allow any unfunded war spending and refused to raise the debt ceiling unless Bush raised taxes to pay for the Iraq war.

 

ALBERTOXX

6:23 AM ET

September 1, 2011

President Obama has

President Obama has additional advantages, in that he is thoughtful and articulate (something traveling that was not true of his predecessor) and fiercely disciplined about his public statements (something that was not true of the last Democratic President). But Obama has not used his advantages effectively.

 

Shadow Government is a blog about U.S. foreign policy under the Obama administration, written by experienced policy makers from the loyal opposition and curated by Peter D. Feaver and William Inboden.

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