Posted By Paul Miller Share

Secretary Gates continued his remarkable straight-talk farewell tour when he dared tell Europe that the emperor has no clothes. That was his basic message on Friday when he said that NATO risks irrelevance and a "dismal" future unless Europe begins paying more for its defense.

My initial reaction to NATO when I served alongside our partners in Afghanistan in 2002 was to be impressed with the individual soldiers but underwhelmed by the aggregate contribution of the alliance partners. Despite having invoked Article V for the first time in its history, most NATO allies did not deploy significant material or manpower to the fight: it was clearly the United States' war in the first year. That impression has only deepened since NATO assumed lead responsibility for Afghan security in 2006, nearly losing the war in the process, and undertook a war of choice against Libya in 2011. It has not distinguished itself in either conflict.

What is NATO for? Not for fighting wars. It proved in Kosovo, Afghanistan, and Libya that NATO is not an effective fighting alliance. The wars it fights are fought by committee: or, worse, by bureaucracy. They are clumsy, inefficient, and violate the unity of command, one of the basic principles of war-fighting. Kosovo ended when the Kosovo Liberation Army began to make progress in ground combat and President Clinton appeared to be rethinking his no-ground-forces rule. Afghanistan has only turned around (barely) since the United States effectively re-Americanized the war starting in 2009 (Americans did not make up a majority of international military forces in Afghanistan until then). And Libya is likely to remain stalemated until NATO changes its approach or the United States takes over.

Gates lamented that allies have not spent more on their own defense: buy why should they? The Europeans are not genetically or culturally programmed for pacifism: from the 16th century onwards each took a turn as the predominant world power, and their empires collectively conquered the globe. Their weak defense today is a simple function of rational choice. The United States subsidizes European free-riding, and the alliance structure is clearly a recipe for moral hazard. Europe has absolutely no reason to spend more on its defense when it can get defense for free from us. They are only doing the rational thing.

But Gates was right when he said that "future U.S. political leaders -- those for whom the Cold War was not the formative experience that it was for me -- may not consider the return on America's investment in NATO worth the cost." That is exactly right. I am a generation younger than Gates, and I have consistently heard (and expressed) these sort of doubts from colleagues and classmates for the last decade.

That is not to say that NATO has no function or that the United States should pull out of the alliance. Far from it. We just need to recognize what NATO really is and what it isn't and then calibrate our expectations appropriately. NATO has evolved (or devolved) from a military alliance into a political institution. It is a sort of institutional expression of the West. It gives voice to common concerns and values. It is the first line of meaningful political (though not military) multilateralism. The possibility of membership in NATO was a powerful incentive for post-communist East European states to reform and implement accountable governance.

More significantly, NATO is a bargain in which the United States commits to Europe's external security in exchange for a European commitment to keep its internal peace. Lord Ismay's famous dictum, that NATO exists "to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down," is still pretty much on target (just replace "Germans" with "secessionists and fascists"). NATO is a tool to balance Russian influence in Eurasia. NATO is emphatically not for global peacekeeping and is not designed for out-of-area operations.

As Russia demonstrated with its 2008 war against Georgia, it is still very much prepared to throw its weight around in its near-abroad. If the United States ever pulled out of NATO and withdrew its troops from Germany and elsewhere, Russia would almost certainly feel emboldened to reassert influence in the Baltics, Eastern Europe, and probably the Middle East, and resurrect an illiberal regional order. NATO helps preclude that scenario. That's a good thing, but don't expect much else.

JOHN THYS/AFP/Getty Images

 

COMETLINEAR

2:13 AM ET

June 15, 2011

NATO was designed specifically to counter the USSR

NATO has been searching for a reason to exist since 1989.

 

SCOOP

8:01 PM ET

June 15, 2011

Alliance of the Unwilling

by Josef Joffe, NYT, June 15, 2011, 08:43 AM

"But now, in Libya, it’s for real, with the United States having to scrounge up bombs and bullets for its destitute allies. At least their planes still have the racks to accommodate ordnance 'made in U.S.A.' NATO is such a nice thing to have, after all, it is the longest-lived alliance in history. But it now comes with a warning: Use sparingly and only in combination with the United States."

 

SCOOP

2:56 PM ET

June 17, 2011

Gates Was Far Too Nice About Nato's Failings

by Constanze Stelzenmüller, Financial Times, June 16, 2011

"The real problem is that Americans and Europeans alike refuse to acknowledge the implications of changes in the purpose of the club itself. The Libya crisis, in particular, has laid bare the alliance’s flaws for the world to see. But more than that it has exposed Europe’s shocking political weaknesses: ponderous national and collective decision-making, superficial understanding of foreign cultures, and ignorance and cavalier mistrust of our closest allies’ motives. Left unchecked, these flaws in time will undermine, and perhaps even destroy, Nato itself."

 

SCOOP

3:44 PM ET

June 20, 2011

Robert Gates's parting shot exposes Europe's military failings

On Target, The Economist, June 18, 2011

"Libya reveals an uncomfortable fact about NATO. Without America, the military punch of even the most powerful European members, Britain and France, is limited. Now, more than ever, Europeans need to get more bangs for their bucks. With the cost of military equipment rising faster than inflation, European countries plainly need to find greater economies of scale."

 

JOHNBOY4546

1:53 AM ET

June 16, 2011

Should have been dissolved at the end of the 1980s

NATO simply serves no purpose, and if " Russia would almost certainly feel emboldened to reassert influence in the Baltics, Eastern Europe, and probably the Middle East" then the likely response from the bastions of Europe - the Brits, Germans, French - is going to be "well, so what?"

 

SLIGHTLY_OPTIMISTIC

3:38 PM ET

June 19, 2011

Article 2 of the NATO Treaty

"[The Parties] will seek to eliminate conflict in their international economic policies and will encourage economic collaboration between any or all of them."

Canada had the foresight to include this economic clause in the original NATO Treaty. What is the procedure to enact it?

 

Shadow Government is a blog about U.S. foreign policy under the Obama administration, written by experienced policy makers from the loyal opposition and curated by Peter D. Feaver and William Inboden.

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