Posted By Peter Feaver Share

The Obama administration has received a lot of ribbing over its use of the euphemism "kinetic military action" -- inartful spin in an attempt to avoid describing the Libyan operation as a war. Many observers have suggested that this fussiness over language may betray the president's discomfort with the idea of war.

There may be something to that critique, but there is another perhaps more important way it is revealing. To a remarkable extent, this president has embraced the kinetic aspects of war. It is the non-kinetic aspects, and especially the overall strategic dimension that harnesses kinetic and non-kinetic lines of action into a coherent strategy, that the president has failed to use.

The clumsy spin may thus be betraying the administration's a-strategic approach to the wielding of military power.

If war and coercive diplomacy only involved kinetic military action, this would be one of our most bellicose of presidents. Look at the kinetic military action he has authorized:

  • In the GWOT, more targeted drone strikes over more territory -- including territory where we are not officially conducting combat operations -- than President Bush.
  • In Afghanistan, a surge in military forces -- actually several escalations - that in absolute numbers exceeds Bush' Iraq surge and in proportional terms dwarfs it.
  • In Iraq, a meticulous implementation of the Status of Forces drawdown that the Bush administration handed over to Obama -- no meaningful acceleration of troop withdrawals.
  • In Libya, a massive aerial/missile bombardment of Qaddafi's forces, the largest U.S. air/missile strike since the opening days of the Iraq War.

Compared with his last two Democratic predecessors, Clinton and Carter, and measured only in kinetic military terms, this is dramatically more hawkish behavior.

The problem is that he has simultaneously hobbled this kinetic action with other measures that work at cross purposes (and that are more reminiscent of Clinton and Carter's approach):

  • In the GWOT, the Obama administration started out publicly (and repeatedly) upbraiding our Pakistan ally which had the predictable effect of making cooperation with the United States that much more politically costly for the Pakistani government.
  • In Afghanistan, Obama announced an arbitrary July 2011 date as the end of the surge, and then the Administration proceeded to confuse everyone as to the meaning of that deadline. This had the predictable effect of producing the very hedging behavior among the Afghan public and the government that the administration claimed it was trying to stop.
  • In Iraq, the administration took its eye off the ball, letting the political paralysis fester and ignoring Iraqi pleas for more presidential-level engagement. Moreover, until very recently, the administration disregarded the rest of the SoFA plan left to them by the Bush Administration, namely the need to renegotiate a new strategic partnership with Iraq that would allow for adequate military presence after 2011.
  • In Libya, the administration launched the Libyan attacks only after poor-mouthing for weeks the very military option they eventually implemented. The president also promised that US involvement would be arbitrarily time-limited and that no ground forces would be used. This had the predictable effect of neutralizing any shock and awe and now, weeks later, Qaddafi shows little sign of being intimidated by the attacks.

The net result of this is that Obama's strategy is inordinately reliant on kinetic effects. Napoleon used to say that the moral is to the physical as three is to one. Obama's approach denies his team that psychological force multiplier.

So when the administration talks about kinetic military action, realize that this may simply be indicating that that is the only part of the strategy that has a good chance of succeeding. We should all hope that the impressive kinetic military action the president has authorized is sufficient to overcome the deficiencies in the non-kinetic aspects of the strategy.

Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images

 

STRYKERCAVSCOUT

1:02 PM ET

April 12, 2011

Square Pegs, Round Holes.

Professor Feaver – I enjoyed this article and agree with your assessment.

I think many in the administration, perhaps including the President, believe (or at least believed), that foreign policy was easier, that the "harm" we caused around the world could have been avoided, that perfect solutions actually exist. It is clear they do not, someone must nearly always lose and often this means choosing a winner we do not like in order to advance our objectives and stabilize conflicts. We have to accept that there are radically different value systems in the world and that quite frankly, we are not resented so much for fighting for our strategic objectives as we are for trying to impose our value system on others.

Accepting this reality leaves an ideologue in a position where they either refine or reform their views - or they try and fit reality into their belief system in the fashion of a square peg in a round hole. I think, if we look at the cases you list above, that the administration is trying to fit reality into their belief system - I hope it works out, that they are right - but my guess is that the lack of strategic vision, of looking at the whole rather than the parts, will leave the United States in a position no better than in 2008, and possibly much worse.

 

Shadow Government is a blog about U.S. foreign policy under the Obama administration, written by experienced policy makers from the loyal opposition and curated by Peter D. Feaver and William Inboden.

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