Thursday, August 26, 2010 - 11:52 AM

For weeks now, the Obama administration has been leaking to reporters
its intention to modify U.S. travel regulations to Cuba. Reportedly, the administration will announce the policy change during the
current congressional recess to avoid political blowback (so much for the
courage of their convictions.)
As a policy matter, the move simply returns U.S. travel policy to that which
existed under the Clinton administration, fostering "people-to-people" contacts
by liberalizing categories of citizens' groups that can legally travel to
Cuba. While religious, cultural, and artistic groups will now find it
easier to visit Cuba, the changes most assuredly do not open Cuba up to
unregulated tourist travel, which is the current Holy Grail of the noisy anti-embargo
lobby.
In short, the new policy won't move the needle much on U.S.-Cuba relations or
in Cuba itself. It won't translate into an economic windfall the Castro
regime desperately needs nor are visits to Cuba by the American
Ballet Theater likely to embolden ordinary Cubans to pressure for
internal change anytime soon.
The biggest problem with the announcement is the timing is all wrong. Not
only are any policy changes that could be construed as lessening the isolation
of the Castro brothers' barbaric and unrepentant regime counter-productive at
this point, they muddy the real issues at hand.
First, there is the unresolved fate of American Alan
Gross, who has been jailed in Cuba without charges since
last December. His "crime"? Delivering internet equipment to
apolitical Jewish groups in Cuba. The administration has made numerous
demands for his release, but undercuts its position by broadening U.S. travel
to Cuba at a time when an innocent American remains jailed for reaching out to
Cubans outside the control of the regime. The totality of our bilateral
relationship should be put on ice until Mr. Gross is unconditionally released.
A second factor contributing to the ill-timing of U.S. policy changes is that,
over the past several months, the Castro regime has been under increasing
international pressure for its ugly human rights record. Last February,
political prisoner Orlando
Zapata Tamayo died as a result of 82-day hunger strike protesting
his unjust incarceration. In addition, a group of Cuban women patriots --
the "Ladies in White," mothers and wives of current political prisoners -- have
gained international attention for their weekly marches in Havana in support of
their loved ones, despite regular interruption by regime goon squads. It
was to distract from these events and other signs of widening public discontent
that the regime recently called in the Cuban Catholic Church to broker the
release of 52 political prisoners to be exiled to Spain.
Engaging in unilateral policy changes now serves only to assist the regime in
changing this negative (and well-deserved) narrative and confuses what should
be a stark, black-and-white issue: the regime's unabated, systematic repression
and abuse of its own people.
Lastly, by expending political capital worrying about our relationship (or lack
thereof) with an unreformed, undemocratic Stalinist regime, we pay short shrift
to our real friends in the region, those with whom we do have common interests
and who are looking for the benefits of a productive relationship with the
United States.
For example, today, there are two Free Trade Agreements pending in the region --
with Colombia and Panama, signed in 2006 and 2007, respectively -- on whose
behalf the administration has exerted no political effort to securing approval
in the U.S. Congress. These agreements are important to these
countries to boost trade and foreign investment. And, just as important,
they are demonstrations of U.S. support and commitment in a hemisphere facing
Hugo Chavez's unremitting, anti-American propaganda offensive.
To make matters worse, last month, the administration sandbagged
another friendly government, Guatemala, by formally charging it with failing to
enforce its labor laws under the Central America-Dominican Republic Free Trade
Agreement (signed by the Bush Administration in 2005). In the first case
of its kind brought by the U.S. against a free trade partner, Guatemala -- one
of the poorest countries in the hemisphere and under extreme pressure by narco-trafficking
syndicates -- must now endure a lengthy process in which it could end up losing
benefits under the agreement and be fined up to $15 million. This is not
how one treats friends, especially in an increasingly hostile neighborhood.
Clearly, fussing about with Cuba policy at this point sends the wrong message
to the regime, the Cuban people, and our true friends in the region. What
changes are needed today are in the Castro regime's relationship with the Cuban
people. Let's hope the congressional recess passes without any
unnecessary U.S. policy moves that serve only to divert the focus to
Washington, instead of Havana, where it belongs.
STR/AFP/Getty Images
Obama's Ill Timed Cuba Move- Oh Really?
Mr Cardenas,
The problem with your argument is the intellectual disconnect you suggest - how does the embargo or easing/lifting the travel restrictions on our people do anything to change the Cuban regime and political system there? The facts are the embargo is mutually destructive to the interests and people of the United States and Cuba. The travel restrictions are an affront to basic American principles like the freedom to travel. Let our citizens go to Cuba freely and decide for themselves whether or not they want to go back. These policies of interference actually empower the repression we complain about in Cuba. The policies are failures. If we want Cuba to change, we need to begin influencing Cuba, not interfering with it. Embargo and travel restrictions do not inspire nor empower democracy. And the rest of the world has condemned our policy as well.
Politically, the Obama Administration does not need the support of the hardline Cuban American community to win Florida or the national election. Sure the party will take the money, but it knows very well it never supported President Obama then and it will not support the Administration in the future.
What better time then for the President to act on Cuba than the present...Certainly the majority of this country wants to be able to freely travel to Cuba and travel now.
The extremism manifested by Mr. Cardenas presumably affected his former work as Deputy Assistant Administrator in the Latin America and Caribbean Bureau of USAID. Perhaps he is one reason that the Cubans are so distrustful of any program undertaken with USAID funding in their country.
Was Cardenas at USAID when the ill conceived contract was given to Development Alternatives Incorporated that led to the current long unfortunate detention of its subcontractor Alan Gross? Did he or anyone else at USAID or at DAI warn Gross of the flagrant violation of Cuban law they paid him to undertake?
http://thehavananote.com/2010/08/clearing_away_the_underbrush_1.html
Whomever were the intended ultimate recipients of Gross's US government funded largess, it is dissembling to only refer to it as "internet equipment" --of which the tiny Jewish community was already well supplied by ORT. He is reported to have been handing out unauthorized equipment capable of two way satellite transmission of encrypted messages which naturally fed the suspicions of Cuban security.
http://thehavananote.com/2010/08/freeing_alan_gross_first_do_no.html
John McAuliff
Fund for Reconciliation and Development
Mr. McAuliff,
While all the Reps from the farming states clamor for trade with Cuba, have you considered who will get stuck for the bill when, not if the Castro Brothers default on the credit that they will of course receive from the American Export Import Bank ?
In case you are wondering, the American Taxpayer will foot the bill, why not add a few billion more to their burden, what's a billion, when we owe trillions, all engineered by the good folks in D.C. who will sell their soul and the soul of America to stay in office. I guess we could blame George Bush for Cuba's problems, why not ?
I borrowed the following paragraphs from an article written by Humberto Fontova that cast light on how the Castro Brothers rank in the credit world.
Per capita-wise, Cuba qualifies as the world’s biggest debtor nation with a foreign debt of close to $50 billion, a credit –rating nudging Somalia’s, and an uninterrupted record of defaults. In 2007 one of the world’s most respected economic forecasting firms, the London- based Economist Intelligence Unit, ranked Cuba as virtually the world’s worst country business-wise. Only Iran and Angola ranked lower. This firm predicted that Cuba’s abysmal business climate would remain that way for the next five years, at the very least.
Standard & Poors refuses even to rate Cuba, regarding the economic figures released by the regime as utterly bogus.
In 1986 Cuba defaulted on most of its foreign debt to Europe. Three years ago France’s version of the U.S. government’s Export- Import Bank (named COFACE) cut off Cuba’s credit line. Mexico’s Bancomex quickly followed suit. This came about because the Castro regime stuck it to French taxpayers for $175 million and to Mexican taxpayers for $365 million. Bancomex was forced to impound Cuban assets in three different countries in an attempt to recoup its losses.
LOL , Mr. McAuliff...
Juan Beratta
You have been misinformed.
The bill that was approved by the House Agriculture Committee maintains the payment in cash provision, it just benefits both seller and buyer by making it cash on delivery in Cuba not in the US and allowing direct payment rather than through third country banks.
At some point normal credit transactions will make sense, but that depends completely on the ability of the Cubans to make timely payment.
OK, I don't like it but I will eat some crow on this one.
Thanks for enlightening me on this..
Juan
Shadow Government is a blog about U.S. foreign policy under the Obama administration, written by experienced policy makers from the loyal opposition and curated by Peter D. Feaver and William Inboden.
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