How much is America liked, and how much does it matter?

Mon, 02/23/2009 - 11:57am

By Peter Feaver

The Obama team in the first month has made it clear that they believe they know how to do public diplomacy better than the Bush team did. They start off with an enormous asset: President Obama's sky-high global celebrity status and a secretary of state who is no celebrity slouch herself

They also have shown some refreshing willingness to try new things. Here I am referring not to Clinton's "listening tour." Nothing is older than the global listening tour. However, it does appear that on Secretary Clinton's "listening tour" she may be willing to say some interesting things, and that may shake things up in an interesting way.

On the debit side, I would list a continuing embrace of anti-Bush rhetoric that may have provided comfort during the campaign but will seem increasingly shrill and defensive as the dominant story of the first 100 days becomes continuity rather than change.

However, in her recent NPR interview, UN Ambassador Rice put her finger on a very important point about public diplomacy that is all-too-often ignored by the Pew poll watchers: public diplomacy is not an end in itself; it is a means to an end. Being the world's BFF is all well and good, but if it does not yield greater global cooperation on the global challenges that matter, then it is not worth much.

I was struck by the different tone between, on the one hand, Ambassador Rice's derisive dismissal of the previous 8 years of U.S. diplomacy, and on the other hand, her candid admission that, well, actually, the Obama administration does want the rest of the world to actually, um, do some things that President Bush tried to get them to do and so, well, in the end, we need them to do it.

I am unfairly paraphrasing, of course, because Susan Rice is one of the best sound-bite deliverers in the business, and she would never fumble around like that in a live interview. She is an A-team player, and as President Obama assembles the rest of his public diplomacy team, I hope they pick other A-team players like her and not flounder about. But regardless of who is on the team, the team will be judged by results -- by the extent to which Obama is able to get the world to cooperate with the United States on core foreign policy strategies, and not by the extent to which he boosts Pew poll ratings: for instance, the extent to which NATO countries offer significant numbers of troops in Afghanistan rather than just expressions of "support."

We may even discover that the real Bush problem in this area was not inept public diplomacy but rather a bona fide conflict of interest among our friends and allies over key foreign policy challenges -- a conflict of interest that derives more from the power disparities of the international system than from cowboy brusqueness. Such a discovery would not really surprise the new team because, last time they were in power, they encountered the very same phenomenon. They were accused of being a hyperpower. And a politically astute would-be president slammed them for wielding U.S. power arrogantly. Then he got into office and faced the very same accusations.

Soft power is the ability to get other states to do what you want by getting them to want what you want. If you do not get other states to do what you want, you do not have soft power, regardless of how popular you are. And if you don't have much soft power and keep on asking for things without getting them, sooner or later you may not be so popular. Or you can try to stay popular by dropping your requests, as one report suggests might be happening with Obama and NATO troops for Afghanistan. It is hard to see how that course will do much for U.S. soft power or for U.S. national security interests.



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Did we listen to the same interview?

I heard no derisive dismissal of the last eight years, but rather a matter-of-fact assessment of the impact of the Bush administration's approach to diplomacy. Please get over your sensitivity and recognize that reality.

Digging a hole!

Only 5 weeks in office with arms open in friendship to the world. The Russians have gotten Obama kicked out of a vital airbase supporting Afghanistan. The Iranians launched a Satellite showing when they have nukes they can put them on a balistic missile. The U.N. has announced that Iran has enough nuclear material for a weapon, which probably means it has enough for a dozen. North Korea, which has nukes, is threatening to test a missle with the range to hit the U.S. Hugo Chavez won his referendum so he can become President for Life, and democracy is on its last legs in Venezuela. Obama released a Guantanamo detainee back to England, a British Resident, who went to Afghanistan to learn to blow up subways. The British won't arrest him because the poor terrorist was mistreated. Let's hope Obama's immigration dept doesn't decide to let him back in the U.S. Our allies/friends...who just love Obama aren't anymore interested in helping in Afghanistan or anywhere than they were for Bush. Obama is sending a delegation to the Durbin conference where they can chat with the other Nazi level anti-semitic attendees about how to commit Holocaust II. India is wondering why Hillary Clinton went all over Asia and ignored our most important strategic relationship of the 21st century. Maybe because Bush was popular in India? Only 5 weeks and a clear trend that our enemies are finding Obama to be weak, and all the ooohing and ahhing from France and Germany isn't worth a bucket of warm spit. Jimmy Obama?

Hillary "Delighted to be the Senator from Punjab & N.Y.!"....

I recall with amusement that the present SoS was called (scornfully) a few years back "the senator from Punjab" due to her well-known contacts with the Indian community. The comment was, of course, quickly picked up by Hillary and during a Capitol Hill Heritage Dinner event, she announced: "I am delighted to be the Senator from Punjab....and N.Y.!". Needless to add she received thunderous applause.
I don't think that India will be upset at all by its omission from SoS's itinerary this time. She's got enough political capital to last her a century with this community. And besides her 4-day diplomatic whirlwind tour was clearly focused on making an impact on the carefully chosen quartet...
Four days, of course, everyone will agree is not sufficient to heal the cancerous growths of the Bushian macho-politic that infested the globe with its catastrophic, almost lethal, legacy.