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Bush Administration
The one-year review: Highs and lows, but kudos on North Korea

Surprises?
The biggest (most pleasant) surprise on Asia has been the Obama administration's willingness to use pressure on North Korea. After campaigning on a promise to meet with the leaders of nations like North Korea without conditions, the Obama White House has turned out to be quite hard line vis-à-vis Pyongyang.
Of course, it would be difficult to miss the obvious failure of Ambassador Chris Hill's conciliatory negotiating style at the end of the Bush administration -- let alone the fact that North Korea responded to President Obama's initial promises of engagement by detonating a second nuclear device. Still, in the case of North Korea the administration seems to have embraced the premise that there must be consequences for proliferators.
The administration has moved forward smartly with implementation of sanctions under U.N. Security Council Resolution 1874 (unlike the Bush administration's decision not to implement UNSCR 1718 after the first nuclear test) and thus far the Special Envoy for North Korea has refused to sit down with the North Koreans until they first agree to return to the Six Party Talks. Even the visit of former President Clinton to Pyongyang was done with most of the administration holding its nose and limiting the mission to the humanitarian goal of bringing home two American journalists taken by the North. We will see how long this holds, but for now the administration looks pretty tough.
Praiseworthy?
The Obama administration deserves praise for its selection of an Asia team. There were more than 60 "advisors" on Asia to the Obama campaign (close to the total number of advisors for the entire world working with McCain). Most of these advisors were calling for wholesale changes in Asia policy, echoing the usual canards about the Bush administration's "unilateralism" and "militarism." But in the end, the top jobs in NSC, State and Defense were filled by non-partisan centrists and pragmatists who recognized the successes of the Bush administration's Asia strategy and wanted to tweak rather than redefine the U.S. approach to the region. Better yet, the top officials at State, NSC and DOD are associated with the successes of the Clinton administration's Asia policy, including the revitalization of the U.S.-Japan alliance and the successful negotiations to bring China into the WTO. The team is professional, knowledgeable and very reassuring to the region.
Constructive Criticism?
The administration deserves criticism on two fronts. The complete lack of a trade strategy leaves the United States without any tools to counter the growth of exclusive regional economic arrangements within Asia. This will become obvious when Obama travels to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum in two weeks and calls for an open and inclusive architecture like his predecessors -- only his predecessors actually were bringing something to the table in terms of trade liberalizing agreements with Korea and other countries in the region. The second area of criticism would be the administration's willingness to pull punches on human rights and democracy. The president's decision not to meet the Dalai Lama in Washington in August (the first rebuff to the Tibetan Spiritual Leader by a U.S. President in recent memory) was particularly problematic.
Predictions?
The Obama administration will grow tired of China. Obama expanded the Bush administration's Strategic Economic Dialogue into a Strategic and Economic Dialogue and raised expectations of progress with Beijing on everything from climate change to Iran and North Korea. But in the wake of the financial crisis Beijing sees itself as externally stronger and internally more vulnerable. That is not a recipe for more cooperation with Washington. Chinese support for North Korea's economy is increasing in the wake of Pyongyang's nuclear test and China will be relying on coal for 80 percent of its energy no matter how well discussions of climate change cooperation go (and they are not going that well). Then there is the unyielding PLA position on the South China Sea, cyber-security and a host of other security problems that will vex the Obama administration's China policy over the coming years. Usually, new administrations come into power in Washington having talked themselves into a tense relationship with Beijing during the election campaign and then they adjust to a more centrist and stable relationship with China (true of Regan, Carter, Clinton and G.W. Bush). The Obama administration came in without having engaged in a contentious debate over China policy with McCain, but may now find itself under increasing pressure to be tough with Beijing.
Photo by Korean Central Television/Yonhap via Getty Images
The one-year review: Obama's Asia policies

Overall, Obama's Asia policy has been largely driven by events and domestic priorities rather than by an overarching strategic vision. The Obama team had to closely coordinate with China on financial matters in response to the financial crisis. Passing a cap and trade bill at home means that we need China to sign up to a global climate change pact; Americans will chafe at a costly bill if the world's largest carbon emitters do not agree to carbon reductions.
The Obama team attempted a new policy on Burma. The idea is to find a way to engage the military junta which would strengthen relations with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, of which Burma is a member. But the policy change has been overtaken by events.
Aung San Suu Kyi was unfairly punished when an American swam across a lake to her residence. And the junta began a new round of repression, as its leaders jail and harass political opponents in the run up to their 2010 "elections." Obama could not radically shift Burma policy. Rather, adjustments to our relations with ASEAN and Burma have been only marginal. There has been some more contact with the junta. And as part of the broader attempt to build stronger relations with Southeast Asia, the administration signed the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation (TAC). These and visits to Southeast Asia by Secretary Clinton and her deputy, Jim Steinberg, demonstrate a desire to deepen American engagement with that region. It is unlikely that engaging Burma or signing the TAC will increase America's regional influence.
Surprise?
There are several Obama Asia policies that have been surprising. On a positive note, the Obama team has given much greater attention to the Japan alliance than I had expected. Secretary Clinton's first stop in Asia was in Tokyo, which eased Japanese concerns that they were in for another round of "Japan passing." Since the Democratic Party of Japan took over last September, Obama officials have visited Japan frequently to get a sense of how to deal with a party that has never before governed. The Obama team should be commended for trying to find its way with this inexperienced and eclectic ruling coalition.
Constructive Criticism?
Other policies should give us pause. For example, Obama is sticking to his campaign promises on trade, which means we have no trade policy. The Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement has been collecting dust in the Congress. The rest of the region, however, is not standing still. China seems to sign a trade agreement a minute and South Korea is moving forward on an FTA with the EU. If this continues, not only will our economy be disadvantaged, but our regional leadership will also suffer. While the Obama administration has done a fine job showing up to Asian multilateral meetings, without new trade proposals it has shown up empty handed.
A second troubling policy is the absence of any agenda on Taiwan. The Obama team was effusive in its praise of President Ma when he was elected in March 2008 and they applaud his attempts to ease tensions with the Mainland. The Taiwan president is doing what he thinks Washington wants - easing cross Strait tensions. But there was an implicit bargain with Taiwan that we are not upholding. We were supposed to strengthen Ma's hand by strengthening our ties to Taiwan. The Obama team is not helping Ma. We have not sold any arms to Taiwan even as China has continued its arms buildup across the Strait. And Obama has no plans of yet to deepen economic ties as Taiwan goes forward with a China FTA.
Third, the bluntness with which the team has downplayed China's miserable human rights record is an unfortunate break with past administrations' practices. Secretary Clinton announced that she would deemphasize human rights concerns on her first trip to China. This was followed by the president's refusal to meet with the Dalai Lama when the Tibetan spiritual leader was in Washington last month. The administration has also been silent on Uighur repression and will not meet with Uighur leader Rebiya Kadeer. It does not help either country for us to pretend that we are indifferent about Chinese respect for human rights, when in reality we have a huge stake in China's political liberalization.
Overall, despite a regular barrage of criticism by Candidate Obama directed at President Bush for his supposed neglect of Asia (never a fair criticism), the Obama team has not wowed the region with new ideas or lavished it with attention. During Bush's first year, his administration had offered the largest arms package ever to Taiwan, was well on its way to substantially upgrading ties with Japan, and was negotiating a diplomatic breakthrough with India of historical significance. Then-U.S. Trade Representative Bob Zoellick was negotiating free trade agreements with Singapore, Australia, and Korea.
The criticism of the Bush administration was that it was "distracted" by the war on terror. The Obama team is learning that fighting a war saps a nation's energy and attention. Now in office, the Obama team can see that the threat from Islamic extremism is very real. The Obama team may have really believed that they could "fix" Afghanistan, disengage from Iraq, and then move on to "re-engaging" the rest of the world.
As Obama is learning, it is not so easy to "move on" when you are at war. No president can disconnect a major foreign policy issue such as war from other foreign policy issues. Asians have a stake in America's Afghanistan policy. A loss in Afghanistan would have stark consequences, as friend and foe alike would question our resolve, and Islamic extremism would rear its head again in Southeast Asia.
Prediction?
Obama's Asia team must be finding that during wartime, presidential attention is the scarcest of commodities. Obama has no choice but to focus on "the wars we are in," often at the expense of the Obama team's hopes for a grand "re-engagement" with Asia.
Win McNamee/Getty Images
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The one-year review: When it comes to China and climate change the stakes are high

By Phil Levy
Surprises?
I have been most surprised by President Obama's policy toward China. Trade with China was a major concern of labor groups in the election and then-Senator Obama signed pledges about the aggressive approach he would take. This included a commitment to find that China was a currency manipulator -- a stance reiterated by Treasury Secretary Geithner in his confirmation testimony. If anything, the facts shifted in favor of a currency finding against China: the exchange rate has not moved in over a year and the United States is borrowing less from abroad (suggesting less dependence).
Praiseworthy?
However, in April and October, the Obama Treasury repeated the finding of the Bush Treasury, that there were no currency manipulators worth mentioning. If you combine this with the docile stance on human rights that my Shadow Government colleagues have already mentioned, it might be explained as a surprising but consistent attempt to engage China as an important economic player. Yet the administration also chose to confront the Chinese with a weak decision on low-cost tires.
Constructive Criticism?
For constructive criticism, I would turn to the administration's broader trade policy. President Obama has attempted to warm international relations while chilling commercial relations. In China, Colombia, S. Korea, Brazil, India, and the European Union, there is growing aggravation at the administration's lack of a trade policy. It is high time that the president deliver his long-promised speech and resolve the conflicts within his party on trade. That could clear the way for reengagement with the rest of the world.
Prediction?
Finally, as a prediction for one year hence, I forecast serious international rancor over the environment. President Obama is in a bind. If there is no U.S. action on climate change, there will be sharp condemnation and disillusionment from abroad. If there is action, it seems likely to entail border measures (tariffs) that could threaten the global trading system. It is hard to see how this ends well.
PHILIPPE WOJAZER/AFP/Getty Images
The one-year review: Why the "no-drama Obama" mantra can't last

By Peter Feaver
Surprise?
I am surprised at how quickly President Obama
lost confidence in the Afghan strategy he announced to great fanfare in March
and how slowly and publicly (with daily read-outs and extensive tick-tock
backgrounders) he is conducting Afghan Strategy Review 2.0. I expected
that he would find it politically very challenging to maintain support for his
war policies, but I did not expect he would make the job so much harder in this
way. If this review results in (a) a sound strategy that (b) President Obama
wholeheartedly commits himself to so (c) he spends the political capital necessary
to forge a domestic and international coalition behind it, then the do-over
will have done some good. But it feels like such a positive outcome is
slipping away.
Praiseworthy?
The best decision President Obama made in the foreign policy arena is one
of the first decisions President-elect Obama made: keeping Secretary Gates.
This step took some political courage on his part, because he had based
his electoral campaign on a scorched-earth critique of President Bush.
Keeping Secretary Gates and some other key figures (such as
Iraq/Afghanistan czar Lt. Gen. Doug Lute) ensured a stable transition and meant
that for the first half of the year there were very few transition-related
hiccups. Given how difficult it is to change commander-in-chief horses in
midstream, this is a great accomplishment.
Constructive criticism?
The aspect of Obama foreign policy that most concerns me may be the
flip-side of the praiseworthy piece: how long it is taking for Obama to settle
into the role of wartime commander-in-chief. It could be that the
decision to continue the bulk of President Bush's war council (and thus its
policies) reflected a decision to delay taking ownership responsibilities for
the war. To my reading, that is the connective thread that stitches together
various problematic aspects of Obama's foreign policy thus far: peddling stale
campaign rhetoric long after its sell-by date; repudiating his own
comprehensive Afghan Strategy Review and launching a new one; developing a tin
ear for civil-military relations and wartime alliance relations; spending so
little time explaining his national security policies to the American people;
giving his political team such a prominent role in national security; etc.
Prediction?
I think it is highly unlikely that the national security team that is in place today will be in place one year from now. I would not want to bet which principal will leave, but the betting money is someone will leave. Personnel transitions tend to be associated with friction and other mischief, and the causal arrow can go in both ways: intra-team friction leads to early departures and new arrivals disrupt established modus vivendi. So my prediction is that the "no drama Obama" mantra will have proven unsustainable by November 2010. This is not something to celebrate nor is it something to dread. Every administration has to deal with shake-ups and I wouldn't be surprised if President Obama proves he can deal with it better than most.
Mark Wilson/Getty Images
Fact Checking the Fact Checkers

File this away under "who will guard the guardians", subfile "who will fact-check the fact-checkers." Media Matters, the leftist advocacy group that "fact checks" the media for alleged pro-conservative, pro-Republican bias, complained about a recent Politico story. They took special exception to a point I made.
The Politico story
was about all the ways that President Obama seems to be getting away
with activity that would have sent critics (critics like Media Matters,
for instance) around the bend if President Bush had tried it. In the
Politico story, the reporter quoted me saying that critics would have
howled if Karl Rove and other political/communicator types had been as
prominently featured in the strategy review that led to the Iraq surge
as David Axelrod and the other Obama communicators are featured in
Obama's current (second) Afghanistan strategy review. I told the
reporter I was worried that this would give the appearance that Obama was viewing
Afghanistan narrowly through a partisan political lens and it would
complicate an already delicate civil-military situation.
Up
gotchas Media Matters to claim that Karl Rove really did participate in
national security strategy reviews, citing a Washington Post story about the the White House Iraq Group (WHIG), which included Rove, Karen
Hughes, and other communicators, as well as policy people such as
Condoleeza Rice and Steve Hadley.
The problem with the Media
Matters claim is that the WHIG was not involved in deciding national
security strategy -- what to do in Iraq (or Afghanistan) to protect our
national security interests. Rather it was involved in deciding
national security communications strategy -- i.e., how best to explain to
Congress, to the American public, and to the world what and why the
President had decided regarding the national security strategy. In
other words, the policy team advised the president on what should be
done and the communications/political team advised the President on how
to persuade the American people that he had decided correctly.
Both
functions are appropriate and necessary, but under President Bush the
policy came first and drove the communications/politics, rather than
vice-versa. In short, Karl Rove did not sit in on the national
security strategy meetings. If Media Matters has additional evidence,
I would be interested in seeing it, but if all they can point to is the
WHIG, then they need better internal fact checkers (and perhaps not
trust everything they read or hear in the media).
Now a more
interesting critique would claim President Bush had the
political-military balance wrong. Perhaps President Obama is
recognizing that his decision on Afghanistan is inescapably a political
one, and that the choice of the right national security strategy hinges
crucially on an assessment of what America's domestic political system
will support. In that case, it might make sense that Obama's political
team has a seat at the table.
I think there is something to this
line of reasoning, but at least in the Iraq case I don't think it would
have altered the course of history much. I don't think having the
political team at the table during the Iraq surge debate would have
changed the outcome -- except, perhaps, to have hastened the surge
decision slightly. According to Bob Woodward's account of the surge,
some of those who opposed it did so out of concerns for its political
doability (would Congress support the surge and would the American
people stand for it?). Perhaps having the political team to weigh in
on that question would have settled the matter more quickly. Such
hypotheticals are hard to pin down with certainty.
But some
things seem pretty certain to me. If the Bush political team had been
as prominently involved, the critics would have howled at the time.
And because President Obama has involved his political team, he will
have to answer the question: to what extent was this decision -
whatever it turns out to be-- driven by political considerations,
especially election and re-election considerations?
NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images
The perils of carpe diem

By Peter Feaver
The mounting criticism of the Karzai family has got me thinking the same thing that Tom Ricks is thinking: When President Obama looks at Karzai does he see Diem? I am hoping he sees Maliki.
Diem was the leader of South Vietnam who famously frustrated President Kennedy
(and before him, President Eisenhower, and before him the French). He
enjoyed more legitimacy than any other South Vietnamese leader did in the early
1960s, but he ran a corrupt and somewhat ineffective government. He also got
embroiled in sectarian conflicts with the Buddhists that further split South
Vietnamese society. The American advisory and support commitment seemed
to be handicapped by Diem's weakness and Kennedy perceived the American effort
to be slowly collapsing. In response, Kennedy ramped up the pressure on
Diem to do more, but Diem seemed only capable of doing less. Finally,
Kennedy took a fateful step and authorized U.S. acquiescence in a coup to
depose Diem, which transpired in early November 1963. During the course
of the coup, Diem was assassinated.
What came after Diem, however, was worse: years of political paralysis caused
by successive coups. With each new political crisis, the South Vietnamese
government got progressively weaker, and the need for greater U.S. involvement
to stave off a catastrophic defeat got progressively stronger. Looking
back on the matter in later years, the Johnson team concluded that toppling
Diem had been a severe blunder, a pivot point in the gradual American slide
into quagmire.
As it happens, the Bush team confronted its own "Diem" question in Iraq in
2006. The new Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki presided over a fledgling Iraqi
government that suffered from some of the same weaknesses: corruption,
ineffective governance, and debilitating sectarian squabbles. As
President Bush wrestled with how to reverse the negative trajectory in Iraq,
one nagging question seemed decisive: Is Prime Minister Maliki part of the
problem or part of the solution? Bush even dispatched National
Security Advisor Hadley to Baghdad to take his own soundings on this question.
Hadley's memo was leaked to the New York Times so you can read his
assessment yourself.
While the option never had serious proponents within the administration, some
arm-chair strategists outside of government even advocated the "Diem option" in
Iraq: somehow replacing Maliki with some other Iraqi leader who would, it was
hoped, prove more to our liking. President Bush decisively rejected such
talk and instead authorized a series of efforts to bolster the Maliki
government -- steps collectively called the "bet on Maliki" option. Since
then, there has been plenty in Iraqi governance to complain about, but I think most
people would agree that the two and half years since the surge in Iraq have
gone better than the two and half years after the coup that deposed Diem.
President Obama and his advisors seem to be wrestling with this fundamental
issue in Afghanistan and the optics and the body language seem more oriented
towards Diem rather than Maliki. Of course, the analogies are not perfect
and the Afghan situation must be evaluated on its own terms. But
Obama would also be well-advised to reflect on the historical record
and the dangers of undermining even frustratingly weak and corrupt allies when
there are not obviously better alternatives ready to take their place -- and when American efforts to install a new leader
might inspire resentment rather than support among the people he would
ostensibly govern.
STF/AFP/Getty Images
Understanding the bombings and the good news about Iraq

Sunday was another tragic day in Iraq, more than 150 people were killed and another 500 injured in attacks on the Ministries of Justice and Interior in Baghdad. The devastation was another sad reminder of how fragile are the gains bought so dearly by Iraqis and Americans -- military and civilian -- working every day in that country to consolidate progress toward a secure and representative Iraq.
Those who believe Iraq was "the wrong war," or that violence and authoritarianism are endemic in a country with such deep sectarian divisions, or those who practice the soft bigotry of low expectations (as President Bush so nicely phrased it in a different context), and believe Muslims incapable of democracy will likely see these attacks as justification for accelerating our disengagement from Iraq. Such a conclusion is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of the domestic politics of Iraq in the run up to their January provincial elections.
War is the extension of politics by other means, as Clausewitz teaches, and domestic politics is what these attacks were about. Iraqi security forces are struggling to prevent such attacks. Prime Minister Maliki's confidence in their ability has always run ahead of their actual performance (as early as 2005 he advocated a security hand over) and he has been party to politicizing their ranks.
But Maliki is running on a platform of providing security and negotiating the U.S. withdrawal. Anything that calls security into question or precipitates a return by American military forces into Iraq's cities (from which we had withdrawn on June 30 in accordance with the Strategic Framework Agreement) hurts Maliki's claim. And it doesn't just hurt Maliki, it hurts other incumbent politicians, like the Mayor of Baghdad, who also argued for removing blast walls to facilitate movement and commerce and a return to normalcy in the capital.
After the last spectacular attack, against the Foreign Ministry on Aug. 19, Prime Minister Maliki responded in a stridently partisan fashion, blaming Sunni and al Qaeda as one, conducting arrests and crackdowns that have a suspicious political tilt against his political opponents. While the U.S. military spokesman tried to put a good face on the Iraqi government's reaction, comparing it to the crasser political manipulation of the Aug. 19 bombings, Maliki's statement in the aftermath speaks for itself:
The cowardly acts of terrorism which occurred today must not weaken the resolution of Iraqis to continue their journey and to fight the followers of the fallen regime, the Baathists and al-Qaeda."
This, before the government had any reasonable idea of who conducted the attacks. There are numerous political factions that could benefit from delegitimizing the Maliki government's record, not least rival Shi'ia who excluded him from being their standard bearer in the election.
But the good news is that political pluralism has taken root in Iraqi politics. Maliki couldn't win the support of a Shi'ia-only slate organizing for the January elections, so he opted to build a cross-sectarian slate. He's not trying very hard, mind you, as his statement blaming Sunni for Sunday's bombing shows. But his effort to appeal across sectarian lines was his Hail Mary (so to speak) and shows he believed voters would reward the choice. Vice President Tariq al Hashimi, a Sunni, is likewise tacking beyond sectarianism to broaden his prospective political base.
This is a hugely important development, seldom seen in fragile societies. Usually, as with the Balkan elections of the early 1990s, politicians prey on voters' mistrust and trend toward extremes which is why elections in factional societies are so often polarizing and foster an upward spiral of violence.
In the last provincial elections, nearly all incumbents were voted out of office, a strong signal that average Iraqis believed they weren't doing their jobs. And voters weren't just "simplifying the map," moving to the sectarian extreme out of fear: Shi'ia voted out Shi'ia, Sunni voted out Sunni, Kurd voted out Kurd. What Iraqi political elites took from that election is the fundamental commandment of democracy everywhere: Thou Shalt Respect the Voters.
Talking to Iraqi politicians (as I did the past couple of weeks around their country), what is most striking is the extent to which they sound like small-city politicians in our own country. They worry about power outages and sewer systems and the quality of education for youngsters. They're mad at the central government for not funding activity they consider its responsibility. They rail against corruption -- even as many of them practice it -- and fear exposure by the free media that is burgeoning. Accountability has come to Iraqi politics, and the politicians know it.
A representative government is struggling to emerge in Iraq. It may not succeed in bridging the sectarian tensions, corruption, and long shadow of decades of authoritarianism that inhibits initiative. In Iraq, strong cultural undercurrents cut against the kinds of behavior that make successful democracies successful. But Iraqis want it, and political elites are responding. This is good news for Iraq and for the advancement of our values in the world.
AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AFP/Getty Images
- al Qaeda | Bush Administration | Corruption | Iran | Politics | Taliban | Terrorism
A most welcome development: Obama's shift on Iraq

By John Hannah
There are some noteworthy developments this past week on the Iraq front that merit attention. First, after Sunday's horrible bombings in Baghdad, President Obama immediately phoned Prime Minister Maliki and President Talabani to offer condolences and reaffirm U.S. support. The president also issued a strong statement condemning the attacks and making clear that "America will stand with Iraq's people and government as a close friend and partner as Iraqis prepare for elections early next year, continue to take responsibility for their future, and build greater peace and opportunity. Together, we will continue to work for lasting security, dignity, and justice."
This response from the Obama administration was in stark contrast to two months ago, when twin suicide truck bombs hit the Iraqi Ministries of Finance and Foreign Affairs, killing at least 100 people and injuring hundreds more. The president was largely missing in action on that occasion -- no phone calls, no statement. Instead, Vice President Biden spoke to Maliki and issued a one-sentence readout of the call.
Iraq's heightened profile on the president's radar screen is only to be applauded. With more than 100,000 American combat troops still in country, and Iraq's success by no means a foregone conclusion, it's entirely fitting that the commander-in-chief remain intensely focused on the situation there. With just this minor investment in time and political capital, Obama has reminded our soldiers, our enemies, and -- perhaps most importantly -- the Iraqi people, themselves, of America's resolve to remain engaged and to help Iraqis consolidate their political, economic and security gains. For our Iraqi allies, it's hard to over-estimate the reassurance provided by this kind of steady determination from the president of the United States.
Also noteworthy in this respect was Obama's public remarks during his Oct. 20 Oval Office meeting with Maliki. True, the president opened with a long salvo on Afghanistan that left the Iraqis somewhat miffed. But he recovered with his first meaningful invocation of the "d" word as applied to the Iraqi context. And not just once, but on three occasions:
We have seen in the last several months a consolidation of a commitment to democratic politics inside Iraq. ... I just want to ... reemphasize my administration's full support for all the steps that can be taken so that Iraq can not only be a secure place and a democratic country, but also a place where people can do business, people can work, families can make a living, and children are well educated. And that broader sense of a U.S. relationship with a democratic Iraq is one that I think all of us are confident we can now achieve." (emphasis added)
During his campaign, as well as during the first months of his administration, the president's default position was to talk Iraq down, and to leave the impression that America's only stake in the country was to wash our hands of it as soon as possible. That now seems to be changing, as the administration begins to realize that America's strategic interests could in fact be reasonably well served by having a potentially very prosperous, very powerful democratic friend in what historically has been one of the Arab/Muslim world's most influential countries. Moreover, this can be achieved through a relatively modest dedication of additional political, economic, and security resources -- even as U.S. forces continue to withdraw from Iraq and America's combat role dramatically diminishes.
If pursued, the president's shifting paradigm on Iraq and its possible role in American strategy in the Middle East is a most welcome development that deserves encouragement and support from both sides of the political aisle.
TIM SLOAN/AFP/Getty Images





